TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morehead State Eagles vs. Radford Highlanders (W)
Volume:
$87,946
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Morehead State Eagles and Radford Highlanders on March 20 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable: both a Morehead State win and a Radford win trigger YES resolution, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses standard winner-determination logic with clear resolution paths for each team and explicit cancellation rules, creating a fundamental incompatibility between the two platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market—its rules guarantee YES resolution regardless of game outcome, rendering it unresolvable and unsuitable for prediction. Polymarket's market is tradeable and follows standard sports betting logic. If you hold Kalshi contracts, expect resolution disputes or forced settlement at 50-50 due to the logical failure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's rules state 'If Morehead St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Radford wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes trigger YES. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and violates basic binary market structure.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses mutually exclusive resolution outcomes—'Morehead State Eagles' if Morehead wins, 'Radford Highlanders' if Radford wins—with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This follows standard winner-determination logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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