TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Montana State Bobcats vs. Sacramento State Hornets (W)
Volume:
$4,691
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Montana State Bobcats and Sacramento State Hornets scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final winner of the game, including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Sacramento St. wins OR Montana St. wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path and making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market until Kalshi clarifies the resolution logic. The second condition should likely resolve to No. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should serve as the reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all logic. Resolves to "Montana State Bobcats" if MSU wins, "Sacramento State Hornets" if SSU wins. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Montana State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Montana State Bobcats. If the Sacramento State Hornets win, the market will resolve to Sacramento State Hornets.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes structure. Both outcomes specified to resolve Yes with no explicit No condition. Key quote: 'If Sacramento St. wins... resolves to Yes. If Montana St. wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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