TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
kalshi
polymarket

Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Volume:
$219,356

Montana St.

 - Kalshi

Montana St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 2, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montana St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,968
N/A
N/A
$48,298
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northern Arizona

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,889
N/A
N/A
$57,412
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 142.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 143.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between Montana State Bobcats and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at -5.5 and -6.5, and total points over/under at 142.5 and 143.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both Montana State and Northern Arizona wins resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Use Polymarket for all markets in this event group. Confirm final score including overtime on NCAA.com. If game is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, Polymarket resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: both 'Montana St. wins resolves Yes' and 'Northern Arizona wins resolves Yes' are stated, creating an impossible both-ways resolution. No edge case handling specified.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (mutually exclusive). Spreads (-5.5, -6.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Totals (142.5, 143.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets include postponement (remains open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions. Key quote: 'result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.