TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Montana State Bobcats vs. Idaho State Bengals
Volume:
$113,178
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Montana State Bobcats and Idaho State Bengals scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-2.5), and over/under totals (143.5 and 144.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it states both possible outcomes (Montana St. win and Idaho St. win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary Yes/No contract. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is self-contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable markets with explicit edge-case handling (postponement and cancellation). Request Kalshi clarification or wait for corrected terms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spread resolves MSU wins if margin >= 3 points, else ISU wins; totals resolve based on combined score crossing threshold (144+ = Over 143.5, 145+ = Over 144.5). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.org. Key quote: 'If the Montana State Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Montana State Bobcats. If the Idaho State Bengals win, the market will resolve to Idaho State Bengals.'
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Montana St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution. No postponement or cancellation provisions specified. Key quote: 'If Montana St. wins the Montana St. at Idaho St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho St. wins the Montana St. at Idaho St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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