A college basketball game between the Montana Grizzlies and Weber State Wildcats scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Multiple markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Montana win and Weber State win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. Use Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals as your authoritative resolution reference. Request Kalshi clarification on whether the Montana outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline: Resolves to "Montana Grizzlies" if Montana wins, "Weber State Wildcats" if Weber State wins. Spread (-2.5): Weber State wins if margin is 3+, otherwise Montana. Spread (-1.5): Weber State wins if margin is 2+, otherwise Montana. Total (152.5): Over if combined score is 153+, Under if less. All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions. Key quote: "The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods."
Kalshi: Moneyline: States both "If Weber St. wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Montana wins... resolves to Yes" — a logical impossibility for a binary Yes/No market. Key quote: "If Weber St. wins the Montana at Weber St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Montana wins the Montana at Weber St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
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