TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Montana Grizzlies vs. Portland State Vikings (W)
Volume:
$2,606
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Montana Grizzlies and Portland State Vikings scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Montana win or Portland State win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until it is corrected. The Polymarket binary structure is logically sound and represents the true event: a winner-take-all college basketball game. Treat Polymarket as the authoritative reference for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market with clear differentiation. Resolves to Montana Grizzlies if Montana wins; resolves to Portland State Vikings if Portland State wins. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Key Quote: If the Montana Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Montana Grizzlies. If the Portland State Vikings win, the market will resolve to Portland State Vikings.
- Kalshi: YES/NO market with logical contradiction. Both Montana win and Portland State win conditions map to Yes resolution, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Key Quote: If Montana wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Portland St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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