This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Monmouth Hawks and Northeastern Huskies scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Northeastern. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spread (-4.5 favoring Monmouth), and multiple over/under totals (148.5, 149.5, 150.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market is logically contradictory—it specifies that both Monmouth winning and Northeastern winning each resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound but use incompatible outcome formats (named outcomes vs binary).
Hero Tip:
Do not trade or hold Kalshi's moneyline market. It cannot be settled. Use Polymarket's moneyline (resolves to team name) and spread/total markets (binary outcomes) as your authoritative settlement sources. All three Polymarket markets will resolve consistently based on final score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical contradiction. Both outcomes (Monmouth wins and Northeastern wins) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible resolution state. Quote: 'If Monmouth wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northeastern wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner's name (Monmouth Hawks or Northeastern Huskies). Spread resolves binary (Hawks if win by 5+, else Huskies). Totals resolve binary (Over if 149+, 150+, or 151+ depending on line; else Under). All use final score including overtime. Quote: 'If the Monmouth Hawks win, the market will resolve to Monmouth Hawks. If the Northeastern Huskies win, the market will resolve to Northeastern Huskies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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