TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano
Volume:
$813,885
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 24 at 2:00PM ET: If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to "Monaco". If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Monaco wins OR Olimpia Milano wins) resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where exactly one team wins and the market resolves to that team's name, with explicit handling for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. The market cannot distinguish between a Monaco victory and an Olimpia Milano victory because both trigger YES. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard winner-takes-all logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If AS Monaco wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Olimpia Milano wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (either team winning) resolves YES, making NO resolution impossible and rendering the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses standard binary logic where the market resolves to 'Monaco' if Monaco wins, 'Olimpia Milano' if Olimpia Milano wins, with explicit contingency rules: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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