TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
Volume:
$286,432
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the Euroleague basketball game between AS Monaco and Hapoel Tel Aviv, scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with special provisions for postponement or cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES if either Hapoel Tel Aviv wins OR AS Monaco wins, making it impossible to resolve NO. This violates binary market logic and creates a fundamentally unresolvable contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—both outcomes trigger YES, meaning there is no valid NO resolution path. Polymarket's binary structure (Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv) is the only logically sound market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Monaco win resolves to 'Monaco', Hapoel Tel Aviv win resolves to 'Hapoel Tel Aviv'. Includes edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to Monaco. If the Hapoel Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Hapoel Tel Aviv.'
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: market resolves YES if Hapoel Tel Aviv wins AND ALSO resolves YES if AS Monaco wins. No NO resolution path exists. Quote: 'If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If AS Monaco wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an impossible binary outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.