TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Modern SC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets
Volume:
$41,849
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Modern SC and El Gouna SC will compete in an Egyptian Premier League match on April 14, 2026. These markets cover multiple betting angles: spread bets (win-by margins of 1.5, 2.5 goals for each team), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and moneyline outcomes. All resolutions depend on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Polymarket markets resolve on specific outcome thresholds (spread, over/under, both teams to score), while Kalshi's markets resolve YES for ANY outcome (Modern win, El Gouna win, or Tie), making Kalshi's markets logically unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's markets in this group. Kalshi's three markets all resolve to YES regardless of the match result, which violates basic market logic. Polymarket's markets are coherent and tradeable; use those instead. If you hold Kalshi positions, clarify with the platform whether these are placeholder markets or if resolution logic will be corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with coherent market design: Polymarket offers eight distinct markets with mutually exclusive or complementary outcomes (spread bets, over/under totals, both teams to score). Each market resolves YES or NO based on specific thresholds applied to the final score. Primary source is efa.com.eg; secondary source is credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours. All markets scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if Modern SC and El Gouna SC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to Under.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES for any outcome. Market 1 states 'If Modern wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If El Gouna wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one of these three outcomes must occur, all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES, rendering them non-functional as prediction markets. No threshold logic, no NO resolution path, and no differentiation between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.