TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Málaga CF vs. SD Huesca
Volume:
$59,541
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga 2 soccer match between Málaga CF and SD Huesca scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (win/draw/loss) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The core resolution hinges on the official final match result as recognized by the governing body.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if canceled with no make-up; Kalshi does not specify cancellation logic, creating ambiguity in how its omnibus outcome market would settle.Hero Tip:
Monitor LaLiga.com and official team announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding the draw market will receive Yes resolution, while Kalshi traders face potential ambiguity. Request explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi support before March 15, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Málaga win, Draw, Huesca win). On cancellation with no make-up: Draw market resolves Yes; Málaga and Huesca win markets resolve No. Resolution source is official LaLiga statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market with three outcome branches (Huesca wins, Malaga wins, Tie). Each outcome resolves Yes if it occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic is not explicitly stated; no fallback resolution rule provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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