TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (W)
Volume:
$167,503
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market uses a Yes/Yes resolution structure that guarantees Yes resolution for any game outcome (Missouri win or South Carolina win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a competitive prediction. Polymarket uses a proper binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is logically incoherent and should not be traded in its current form. The platform likely intended a Yes/No structure (Yes if Missouri wins, No if South Carolina wins) but published it incorrectly. Contact Kalshi support for clarification before placing any trades. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' if Missouri wins, 'South Carolina Gamecocks' if South Carolina wins. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: 'If the Missouri Tigers win, the market will resolve to Missouri Tigers. If the South Carolina Gamecocks win, the market will resolve to South Carolina Gamecocks.'
- Kalshi: Yes/Yes structure creates logical impossibility. Market resolves to Yes if Missouri wins AND also resolves to Yes if South Carolina wins, guaranteeing Yes outcome regardless of game result. No provisions stated for cancellation or postponement. Key Quote: 'If Missouri wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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