TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Volume:
$519,647
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 Missouri), and over/under (155.5 total points) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Missouri and Mississippi State wins resolve to Yes, making binary resolution impossible. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it cannot resolve to a single definitive outcome. Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, spread, total) are the only reliable settlement instruments for this event. Verify with Kalshi whether their market is actually a game-occurrence market or if there is a documentation error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' or 'Mississippi State Bulldogs' based on final score winner; (2) Spread (-1.5) resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' if win by 2+, else 'Mississippi State Bulldogs'; (3) Over/Under (155.5) resolves to 'Over' if combined score 156+, else 'Under'. All include postponement continuation and 50-50 cancellation clause. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Mississippi St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Missouri wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it logically impossible to distinguish winner. No cancellation or postponement clause specified. Key quote: Both win conditions resolve to Yes, creating unresolvable ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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