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Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
polymarket
kalshi

Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Volume:
$519,647

Missouri

 - Kalshi

Missouri - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Missouri

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$327,028
N/A
N/A
$209,888
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mississippi St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$168,159
N/A
N/A
$131,787
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 Missouri), and over/under (155.5 total points) outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Missouri and Mississippi State wins resolve to Yes, making binary resolution impossible. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it cannot resolve to a single definitive outcome. Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, spread, total) are the only reliable settlement instruments for this event. Verify with Kalshi whether their market is actually a game-occurrence market or if there is a documentation error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' or 'Mississippi State Bulldogs' based on final score winner; (2) Spread (-1.5) resolves to 'Missouri Tigers' if win by 2+, else 'Mississippi State Bulldogs'; (3) Over/Under (155.5) resolves to 'Over' if combined score 156+, else 'Under'. All include postponement continuation and 50-50 cancellation clause. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Mississippi St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Missouri wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it logically impossible to distinguish winner. No cancellation or postponement clause specified. Key quote: Both win conditions resolve to Yes, creating unresolvable ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.