This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and LSU Tigers scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Missouri win and LSU win are mapped to Yes, violating the mutual exclusivity required for a single-game outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket is the only logically coherent market in this group. Avoid Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to PredictionHero support—this appears to be a platform error rather than a legitimate market design.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all logic. Missouri win resolves to Missouri Tigers, LSU win resolves to LSU Tigers. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime. Source: NCAA.org.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. Market states: If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes. If LSU wins...resolves to Yes. Both outcomes cannot occur in a single game, yet both map to the same resolution state, creating an impossible condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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