TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Volume:
$1,927,613
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks men's college basketball game scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -9.5 and -10.5, and an over/under total of 160.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Missouri win and Arkansas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unsuitable for trading.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It will resolve to Yes no matter who wins, eliminating any directional value. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to the winning team name. Spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for either team winning. Both Missouri win and Arkansas win trigger Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Missouri wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Missouri Tigers or Arkansas Razorbacks). Spread markets (-9.5 and -10.5) resolve to team name based on margin threshold. Total market (O/U 160.5) resolves to Over/Under. All markets resolve 50-50 on full cancellation with no makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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