A college basketball game between Missouri State Bears and Sam Houston Bearkats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -6.5 and -7.5, and over/under totals at 153.5 and 154.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Missouri State win and Sam Houston win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a corrected market description. The Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms use consistent binary logic and should resolve as documented based on final game score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on margin (Sam Houston -6.5 requires 7+ point win, -7.5 requires 8+ point win); totals resolve Over at 154+ combined points (153.5 line) or 155+ combined points (154.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Kalshi: Moneyline states both Missouri State win and Sam Houston win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No No outcome is documented. This contradicts standard binary market structure and makes settlement impossible without clarification.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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