TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (W)
Volume:
$324,728
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Florida Gators scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the completed game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Mississippi State winning and Florida winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making binary resolution impossible. This is a data integrity failure that renders the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Polymarket's market is logically sound: it resolves to the winner's name or 50-50 on cancellation. Request clarification from Kalshi that the second outcome should resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winner name (Mississippi State Bulldogs or Florida Gators) based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Both Mississippi State win and Florida win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary Yes/No contract. Key Quote: 'If Mississippi St. wins... resolves to Yes. If Florida wins... resolves to Yes.' No resolution path for No outcome is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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