This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET at Auburn. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Auburn -7.5 and -8.5), and over/under totals (158.5 and 159.5 points).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Auburn win and Mississippi State win resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket moneyline is logically sound and should be used as the authoritative winner determination. All spread and over/under markets are consistent across platforms and will resolve based on final score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market maps both possible game outcomes to Yes resolution with no specified No condition. Quote: 'If Auburn wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mississippi St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility.
Polymarket: Moneyline market clearly distinguishes outcomes: resolves to 'Mississippi State Bulldogs' if MSU wins, 'Auburn Tigers' if Auburn wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Mississippi State Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Mississippi State Bulldogs. If the Auburn Tigers win, the market will resolve to Auburn Tigers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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