TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Volume:
$51,332
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Polymarket offers six markets (moneyline, three over/under totals at different thresholds, and three spread variations), while Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves Yes if either team wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Alabama win or Mississippi State win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable under standard binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket suite is logically sound and resolvable. Request Kalshi clarification on whether the market should resolve Yes for only one team, or whether No is reserved for game cancellation/postponement scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six distinct, internally consistent markets. Moneyline resolves to winner. Over/Under markets (174.5, 175.5, 176.5, 177.5 thresholds) resolve based on combined points. Spread markets (-12.5, -13.5, -14.5) resolve based on Alabama's point differential. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Single binary market with logical flaw. States: 'If Alabama wins... resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to Yes, creating an always-true condition with no valid No state. Key quote: 'If Alabama wins the Mississippi St. at Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. wins the Mississippi St. at Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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