TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia
polymarket
kalshi

Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia

Volume:
$458,131

Bahia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bahia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138,427
N/A
N/A
$61,159
Settled
Yes
polymarket

EC Bahia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,934
N/A
N/A
$38,986
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,566
N/A
N/A
$29,647
Settled
No
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Mirassol FC and EC Bahia.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Mirassol win, draw, Bahia win) with standard resolution logic, while Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES for any outcome, creating a logical contradiction where all three Kalshi markets must simultaneously resolve YES regardless of the match result.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES no matter what happens on the pitch, making them unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes and should be used instead.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market (Mirassol win, draw, Bahia win) has independent YES/NO logic tied to that specific outcome. Key quote: 'If Mirassol FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for any possible match outcome (Mirassol win, Bahia win, or tie). This creates a logical impossibility where all three markets must resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual result. Key quote: 'If Mirassol wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bahia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.