TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia
Volume:
$458,131
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Mirassol FC and EC Bahia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Mirassol win, draw, Bahia win) with standard resolution logic, while Kalshi presents three markets that all resolve YES for any outcome, creating a logical contradiction where all three Kalshi markets must simultaneously resolve YES regardless of the match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical flaw. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES no matter what happens on the pitch, making them unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes and should be used instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market (Mirassol win, draw, Bahia win) has independent YES/NO logic tied to that specific outcome. Key quote: 'If Mirassol FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for any possible match outcome (Mirassol win, Bahia win, or tie). This creates a logical impossibility where all three markets must resolve YES simultaneously, regardless of the actual result. Key quote: 'If Mirassol wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bahia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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