Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official outcome of the Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC match on March 22, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official MLS statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer statistics (mlssoccer.com) and governing body records; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Minnesota United FC wins (YES on Polymarket Minnesota win market), Seattle Sounders FC wins (YES on Polymarket Seattle win market), or the match ends in a draw (YES on Polymarket draw market).
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Minnesota and Seattle win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves NO (per Polymarket) or YES (per Kalshi cancellation logic); however, Kalshi's structure treats all three outcomes as YES-resolving events, implying cancellation would trigger all three.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and resolved based on the final result.
Game Cancellation Without Make-Up: Polymarket explicitly resolves Minnesota and Seattle win markets to NO and the draw market to NO if canceled. Kalshi's structure implies all three outcomes resolve YES if the event occurs, but does not explicitly address cancellation; this represents a minor ambiguity in Kalshi's terms.
Resolution Timing: Both platforms use official MLS statistics as primary source, with a 2-hour window after match conclusion; if unavailable, credible reporting consensus is used.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official MLS announcement of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, typically within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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