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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines
kalshi
polymarket

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Volume:
$2,705,165

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 24, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$474,446
N/A
N/A
$376,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,095,598
N/A
N/A
$1,608,978
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting at two thresholds (-21.5 and -22.5 points), and total points over/under at two levels (145.5 and 146.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Michigan win and Minnesota win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with clear binary or categorical outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets for this event. The resolution logic is broken and guarantees a payout regardless of the actual game result. Polymarket offers reliable, logically consistent markets across moneyline, spread, and totals.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets contain logical contradiction. Both 'If Michigan wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Minnesota wins...resolves to Yes' are stated, meaning all outcomes resolve identically. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Michigan Wolverines' or 'Minnesota Golden Gophers' based on winner. Spread markets (-21.5 and -22.5) resolve to 'Michigan Wolverines' if margin threshold is met, else 'Minnesota Golden Gophers'. Totals (145.5 and 146.5) resolve to 'Over' or 'Under' based on combined score. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.