TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (W)
Volume:
$119,516
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Minnesota Golden Gophers and Illinois Fighting Illini scheduled for March 1, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Illinois win and Minnesota win) resolve to the identical result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two teams.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi market as specified is logically broken and cannot function as a prediction market. Avoid trading it until clarification is provided by the platform. The Polymarket version is logically sound and resolvable. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to platform support as the specification violates basic market design principles.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutual exclusivity. Minnesota win resolves to Minnesota Golden Gophers; Illinois win resolves to Illinois Fighting Illini. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contains logical impossibility: both Illinois win and Minnesota win resolve to Yes, creating no differentiation between outcomes. Market cannot function as specified because both possible game results map to identical resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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