This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Milwaukee Panthers and Green Bay Phoenix scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods, with specific provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Kalshi's resolution logic is tautological: both Milwaukee win and Green Bay win map to Yes, leaving no valid path for a No resolution. This makes the market logically unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market cannot resolve correctly as written. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is the only sound version. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether a third outcome (cancellation/postponement = No) was omitted from the description.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution with clear edge-case handling. Milwaukee win = Milwaukee Panthers resolution; Green Bay win = Green Bay Phoenix resolution; postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Logically sound and resolvable.
Kalshi: Defective tautological logic: both Milwaukee win and Green Bay win resolve to Yes. No valid condition for No resolution. Creates an unresolvable market state. Appears to be a data entry or specification error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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