TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for May 5 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Milwaukee win and St. Louis win are stated to resolve to Yes, with no specified No outcome or edge case handling. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's moneyline market as data-integrity failure. Predict and Polymarket both offer identical, coherent binary logic (Milwaukee wins vs. St. Louis wins with 50-50 tie/cancellation fallback). Trade only on Predict or Polymarket unless Kalshi provides corrected terms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Predict: Clean binary: resolves to Milwaukee Brewers if Brewers win, St. Louis Cardinals if Cardinals win. Postponement extends market; cancellation or tie triggers 50-50 split. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Polymarket: Identical to Predict for moneyline. Also offers separate first-inning prop (Yes/No for run scored). Same edge case handling: postponement extends, cancellation/tie = 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics, fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: States 'If Milwaukee wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. Louis wins... resolves to Yes'. No specification of No outcome, tie handling, cancellation protocol, or postponement logic. Market is logically contradictory and unresolvable.
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