TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC

Volume:
$356,226

Norwich City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 6, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Norwich City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Norwich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,993
N/A
N/A
$18,652
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Millwall FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Millwall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,530
N/A
N/A
$55,480
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,099
N/A
N/A
$21,258
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Millwall FC and Norwich City FC scheduled for April 6, 2026. The markets collectively capture all three possible outcomes (Millwall win, Norwich win, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Millwall win, Tie, Norwich win) as separate YES/NO markets, but provides no mechanism to distinguish which single market resolves YES when the event occurs. Polymarket correctly structures the same event as three complementary binary markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution rules.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets for this event. The platform has failed to specify which of its three markets resolves YES given any actual match outcome. Polymarket's markets are tradeable and resolvable; Kalshi's are not. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on underlying event and timing: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Norwich win, Draw, Millwall win) with explicit resolution rules for each outcome. Each market has a clear YES/NO condition tied to a specific match result: 'If Norwich City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets but fails to specify resolution logic. All three markets state 'If [outcome] occurs, then the market resolves to Yes' without defining what happens to the other two markets or how to handle the mutually exclusive nature of match outcomes. The rules do not clarify whether all three markets resolve YES simultaneously, or which single market resolves YES given a specific result, creating a logical contradiction that makes the markets unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.