TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC
Volume:
$356,226
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Millwall FC and Norwich City FC scheduled for April 6, 2026. The markets collectively capture all three possible outcomes (Millwall win, Norwich win, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Millwall win, Tie, Norwich win) as separate YES/NO markets, but provides no mechanism to distinguish which single market resolves YES when the event occurs. Polymarket correctly structures the same event as three complementary binary markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets for this event. The platform has failed to specify which of its three markets resolves YES given any actual match outcome. Polymarket's markets are tradeable and resolvable; Kalshi's are not. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on underlying event and timing: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Norwich win, Draw, Millwall win) with explicit resolution rules for each outcome. Each market has a clear YES/NO condition tied to a specific match result: 'If Norwich City FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets but fails to specify resolution logic. All three markets state 'If [outcome] occurs, then the market resolves to Yes' without defining what happens to the other two markets or how to handle the mutually exclusive nature of match outcomes. The rules do not clarify whether all three markets resolve YES simultaneously, or which single market resolves YES given a specific result, creating a logical contradiction that makes the markets unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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