TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Millonarios FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF
Volume:
$439,478
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, March 30, 2026 between Millonarios FC and Fortaleza CEIF.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction: all three outcomes (Millonarios win, Fortaleza win, draw) are specified to resolve YES, making it impossible for exactly one market to resolve YES. Polymarket's three markets are logically coherent and mutually exclusive. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a logical impossibility. Polymarket's markets are resolvable: exactly one of the three outcomes will occur, and exactly one market will resolve YES. If you have exposure to Kalshi, escalate to compliance immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If Millonarios wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Fortaleza wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports settlement logic: Three mutually exclusive markets covering all possible outcomes. Market 1 (Millonarios win) resolves YES only if Millonarios wins, otherwise NO. Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, otherwise NO. Market 3 (Fortaleza win) resolves YES only if Fortaleza wins, otherwise NO. Exactly one market will resolve YES based on the final 90-minute result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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