TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns (W)
Volume:
$2,131,332
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Michigan Wolverines and Texas Longhorns on March 30 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either team winning (both outcomes trigger YES), while Polymarket resolves to a categorical outcome naming the winner. Kalshi's logic is fundamentally broken as a binary market.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market—it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unsuitable for directional trading. Use Polymarket instead, which properly resolves to either 'Michigan Wolverines' or 'Texas Longhorns' based on the final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Texas wins OR if Michigan wins, meaning the market resolves YES in all realistic game outcomes. Key quote: 'If Texas wins the Michigan at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins the Michigan at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to a categorical outcome—either 'Michigan Wolverines' or 'Texas Longhorns'—based on which team wins the game. Key quote: 'If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines. If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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