This event group covers a college basketball game between the Michigan Wolverines and Purdue Boilermakers scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 Michigan), and multiple over/under totals (155.5, 156.5, 157.5). Resolution is based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Michigan win and Purdue win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but Kalshi diverges fundamentally on the moneyline outcome mapping.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is clarified by Kalshi support. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and totals as your authoritative reference. All Polymarket markets share consistent postponement and cancellation logic (remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup).
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline: Michigan win resolves to Michigan Wolverines, Purdue win resolves to Purdue Boilermakers. Spread: Michigan resolves if they win by 3+, else Purdue. Totals: Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (157 for O/U 156.5, 158 for O/U 157.5, etc.). All markets: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Moneyline: States both 'If Purdue wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Michigan wins... resolves to Yes' - logical contradiction. No spread or totals markets provided. No explicit postponement or cancellation logic stated.
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