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395,664

Markets across

30,076

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2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
kalshi
polymarket

Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Volume:
$6,787,356

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,549,659
N/A
N/A
$2,361,776
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$297,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,894,839
N/A
N/A
$2,029,088
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 160.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 159.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Michigan Wolverines and Illinois Fighting Illini scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5, -2.5), and over/under totals at multiple lines (157.5, 158.5, 159.5, 160.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Illinois win and Michigan win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It cannot be resolved as written. Trade only Polymarket markets for this event: moneyline, spreads (-1.5, -2.5), and totals (157.5, 158.5, 159.5, 160.5). All Polymarket markets use consistent final-score logic and 50-50 cancellation protocol.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves Yes for both Illinois win and Michigan win outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Illinois wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner (Michigan Wolverines or Illinois Fighting Illini). Spreads resolve based on margin of victory vs. stated threshold. Totals resolve based on combined final score vs. stated line. All markets postpone until completion or resolve 50-50 if canceled. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.