TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines
Volume:
$6,270,868
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's College Basketball game between Michigan State Spartans and Michigan Wolverines scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (point differential), and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction (both teams resolving to Yes simultaneously), and time information is absent on Kalshi while Polymarket provides explicit ET timestamps. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi moneyline as unreliable. Polymarket markets are consistent and resolvable. Confirm game completion and final score (including overtime) before settlement. If game is canceled entirely with no makeup, all Polymarket markets resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: If Michigan wins, resolve Yes. If Michigan State wins, resolve Yes. This is logically impossible. No scheduled time provided. Quote: 'If Michigan wins the Michigan St. at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. wins the Michigan St. at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either Michigan State Spartans or Michigan Wolverines (mutually exclusive). Scheduled for March 8 at 5:30 PM ET. Spreads and totals scheduled for March 8 at 4:30 PM ET. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50. Quote: 'If the Michigan State Spartans win, the market will resolve to Michigan State Spartans. If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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