TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Volume:
$3,834,142
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Michigan State Spartans and Indiana Hoosiers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), three spread variations (-3.5, -2.5, -1.5), and a total points over/under at 144.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Michigan State winning and Indiana winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for this matchup. If you hold Kalshi exposure, request clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Michigan State Spartans or Indiana Hoosiers). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-3.5 requires 4+ point win, -2.5 requires 3+ point win, -1.5 requires 2+ point win). Total resolves Over at 145+ combined points. All markets: postponement keeps open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Michigan St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Indiana wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. No alternative resolution path or tie-breaker is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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