TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Michael (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on April 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket lacks published resolution rules entirely, while Kalshi provides 20 cascading threshold conditions that logically reduce to a single effective threshold (>20). This creates platform inconsistency and potential trader confusion.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, treat the market as resolving Yes if Tomatometer score exceeds 20 on Apr 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, since all higher thresholds are subsumed by this condition. On Polymarket, request official rules clarification before entering positions. If both platforms eventually align, expect Kalshi's effective threshold (>20) to be the operative standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: No detailed rules provided. Resolution criteria are undefined and unavailable for audit.
- Kalshi: 20 overlapping Yes-resolution conditions with thresholds from >20 to >95, all tied to Apr 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Logically reduces to: score >20 resolves Yes; score <=20 resolves No. All intermediate thresholds (>25, >30, etc.) are redundant given the >20 condition.
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