TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)
Volume:
$549,332
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and West Virginia Mountaineers on March 21 at 5:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Miami (OH) wins OR West Virginia wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team resolves as the winner.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules state that YES occurs if Miami (OH) wins AND if West Virginia wins — meaning the market cannot resolve to NO under any realistic game outcome. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Miami (OH) wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If West Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' with no NO resolution condition specified. This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unresolvable as a binary prediction market. Key quote: 'If Miami (OH) wins the Miami (OH) at West Virginia women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If West Virginia wins the Miami (OH) at West Virginia women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket correctly structures this as a binary outcome market where the market resolves to either 'Miami (OH) RedHawks' or 'West Virginia Mountaineers' based on the final score. Polymarket also includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Miami (OH) RedHawks win, the market will resolve to Miami (OH) RedHawks. If the West Virginia Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to West Virginia Mountaineers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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