TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
Volume:
$2,704,557
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Miami (OH) RedHawks and Massachusetts Minutemen scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variations, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UMass win and Miami (OH) win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely until the contradiction is resolved. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spreads, totals) is logically sound and should be used as the authoritative reference. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether the Miami (OH) win outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Miami (OH) RedHawks' if Miami wins, or 'Massachusetts Minutemen' if UMass wins. Spread markets (-3.5 and -2.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (4+ points and 3+ points respectively). Over/Under markets (163.5 and 161.5) resolve based on combined score totals. All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) handling. Source: NCAA.com. Key Quote: 'If the Miami (OH) RedHawks win, the market will resolve to Miami (OH) RedHawks. If the Massachusetts Minutemen win, the market will resolve to Massachusetts Minutemen.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains unresolvable logic: states both 'If UMass wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Miami (OH) wins...resolves to Yes.' No No outcome is defined, creating a logical impossibility. This is a critical data integrity failure. Key Quote: 'If UMass wins the Miami (OH) at UMass men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (OH) wins the Miami (OH) at UMass men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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