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Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers
kalshi
polymarket

Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Volume:
$2,979,418

Virginia

 - Kalshi

Virginia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,128,819
N/A
N/A
$783,008
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami (FL)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,711,997
N/A
N/A
$1,072,876
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$810
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,022
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,313
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$456
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a college basketball game between the Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Cavaliers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at two different lines (-7.5 and -8.5), and the total combined score over/under 145.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Virginia win and Miami win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative source for winner determination. Spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent with standard college basketball settlement rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory logic: both Virginia win and Miami win resolve to Yes, creating an impossible settlement state. This appears to be a template error where both outcomes were assigned the same resolution value.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly maps Virginia win to Virginia Cavaliers resolution and Miami win to Miami Hurricanes resolution. Spread markets (-7.5 and -8.5) and total market (O/U 145.5) all use standard threshold-based logic with consistent postponement and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.