TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs
Volume:
$1,939,884
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Miami Hurricanes and SMU Mustangs scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 SMU), and multiple over/under totals (156.5, 157.5, 159.5, 160.5, 161.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (SMU win or Miami win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It cannot be resolved as written. Use Polymarket moneyline instead. Spread and total markets on both platforms are internally consistent and use standard resolution logic (final score including overtime, 50-50 split if canceled with no makeup).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market structure is broken: both SMU win and Miami win are mapped to Yes resolution. This creates a logical impossibility - there is no outcome that resolves to No. Quote: 'If SMU wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Miami Hurricanes win resolves to 'Miami Hurricanes', SMU Mustangs win resolves to 'SMU Mustangs'. Spread and total markets use standard threshold logic with 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: 'If the Miami Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to Miami Hurricanes. If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to SMU Mustangs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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