TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mexico vs. Portugal
Volume:
$3,983,391
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Mexico vs. Portugal is a professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 28, 2026. The event will be settled based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer complementary binary markets covering all three possible outcomes: Mexico win, Portugal win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 28, 2026, using FIFA or official governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the governing body/event organizersCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Mexico wins, Portugal wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve the corresponding market(s) to YES; all others resolve to NO.
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets all resolve YES (as all three outcomes are covered).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 28, 2026, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and resolved based on the final 90-minute result.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's structure (covering all three outcomes) results in all three markets resolving YES since every possible outcome is technically covered.
- Delayed Official Statistics: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the match concludes, both platforms may use consensus from credible reporting sources as a fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours of match conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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