TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
Volume:
$345,381
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Merrimack College Warriors and Niagara Purple Eagles scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -7.5 and -8.5, and over/under totals at 126.5 and 127.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Niagara win and Merrimack win) are specified to resolve Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This violates binary market semantics and makes the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market is corrected. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets as your primary resolution reference. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether the Yes/No outcomes were reversed or if a third outcome was intended.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Merrimack or Niagara). Spreads (-8.5 and -7.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Totals (126.5 and 127.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Source: NCAA.org final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Niagara wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Merrimack wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a tautology where every possible outcome triggers Yes, with no specified No resolution condition. Logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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