TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Volume:
$282,080
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and St. Francis (PA) Red Flash scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5, -2.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (136.5, 137.5, 138.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and St. Francis win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate winners.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi moneyline markets—they are logically broken. Trade only Polymarket contracts, which correctly map each outcome to a distinct resolution value and include explicit 50-50 cancellation language.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets are logically contradictory. Both Mercyhurst win and St. Francis win resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. Quote: If Mercyhurst wins resolves to Yes; If St. Francis wins resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: All markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) use binary or named outcomes with clear thresholds. Moneyline resolves to winner name. Spreads use point margins. Totals use combined score thresholds. All include 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: If Mercyhurst Lakers win resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers; If St. Francis PA Red Flash win resolves to St. Francis PA Red Flash.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.