This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and LIU Sharks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the binary outcome: which team wins the game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (LIU win and Mercyhurst win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. Polymarket is the reliable source for this event. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support on whether a No condition exists or if this is a documentation error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Mercyhurst win resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers, LIU win resolves to LIU Sharks. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Defective market design. Both 'If LIU wins' and 'If Mercyhurst wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, with no documented No condition. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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