This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and LIU Sharks scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (LIU favored by 4.5–6.5 points), and over/under total points (ranging from 119.5 to 153.5).
Over/Under threshold granularity differs between platforms. Kalshi offers 13 distinct thresholds (119.5–153.5) while Polymarket offers 5 thresholds (133.5–137.5). Although the mathematical resolution logic is equivalent, the available trading options and precision levels diverge significantly.
Hero Tip:
Traders should cross-reference the exact threshold they intend to trade. Kalshi provides finer granularity for tailored exposure; Polymarket covers the mid-range consensus. Both platforms resolve identically for moneyline and spread outcomes. Verify game completion status and final official score from NCAA before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: 13 over/under markets with thresholds: 119.5, 121.5, 123.5, 126.5, 129.5, 132.5, 135.5, 138.5, 141.5, 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5. All resolve Yes if combined score > threshold. Example: 'over 137.5' resolves Yes if score >= 138.
Polymarket: 5 over/under markets at thresholds 133.5, 134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 137.5. Resolves Over if combined score >= (threshold + 1). Also includes moneyline (winner), three spread markets (LIU -4.5, -5.5, -6.5), with explicit overtime inclusion and 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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