TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriers (W)
Volume:
$519,205
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mercer Bears and Wofford Terriers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET at Wofford. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercer win and Wofford win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot produce a meaningful settlement. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event, with clear winner-take-all binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary structure with clear mutual exclusivity. Mercer victory resolves to 'Mercer Bears', Wofford victory resolves to 'Wofford Terriers'. Postponement keeps market open; total cancellation resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective binary logic. States 'If Mercer wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Wofford wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, violating binary market structure and making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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