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406,019

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30,401

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2,689

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5

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Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
kalshi
polymarket

Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

Volume:
$575,792

Mercer

 - Kalshi

Mercer - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mercer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,286
$211,655
N/A
N/A
$128,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Citadel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,118
$209,128
N/A
N/A
$127,376
Settled
No
polymarket

Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,634
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,803
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 147.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,484
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

A college basketball game between Mercer Bears and The Citadel Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at -9.5 and -11.5, and total points over/under 147.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Citadel win and Mercer win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets use consistent binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline as written—it cannot resolve correctly. Polymarket moneyline is the only valid binary outcome market. All platforms agree on edge case handling: overtime counts toward final score, postponed games remain open, and canceled games without makeup resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If The Citadel wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mercer wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No No outcome is defined.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market: 'If Mercer Bears win, resolve to Mercer Bears' and 'If Citadel Bulldogs win, resolve to The Citadel Bulldogs'. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread (-9.5, -11.5) and total (O/U 147.5) markets use consistent binary logic with clear thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.