TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
Volume:
$575,792
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Mercer Bears and The Citadel Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at -9.5 and -11.5, and total points over/under 147.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Citadel win and Mercer win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets use consistent binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline as written—it cannot resolve correctly. Polymarket moneyline is the only valid binary outcome market. All platforms agree on edge case handling: overtime counts toward final score, postponed games remain open, and canceled games without makeup resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If The Citadel wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mercer wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No No outcome is defined.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market: 'If Mercer Bears win, resolve to Mercer Bears' and 'If Citadel Bulldogs win, resolve to The Citadel Bulldogs'. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread (-9.5, -11.5) and total (O/U 147.5) markets use consistent binary logic with clear thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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