TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercer Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$2,687
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Mercer Bears and Samford Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercer win and Samford win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution value.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's market is tradeable and should be used as the reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Mercer victory and Samford victory resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves to Yes regardless of game outcome. Quote: 'If Mercer wins...resolves to Yes. If Samford wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Winner-specific binary resolution: Mercer Bears win resolves to 'Mercer Bears', Samford Bulldogs win resolves to 'Samford Bulldogs'. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Mercer Bears win, the market will resolve to Mercer Bears. If the Samford Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Samford Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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