TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins (W)

Volume:
$22,560

Furman

 - Kalshi

Furman - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 8:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Furman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,232
N/A
N/A
$10,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mercer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,328
N/A
N/A
$8,616
Settled
No
polymarket

Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Mercer Bears and Furman Paladins scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercer win and Furman win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the resolution language is corrected. The market as written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket is the reliable reference; its binary winner-name resolution is clear and executable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Mercer Bears or Furman Paladins). Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Source: NCAA.org final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states both Mercer win and Furman win resolve to Yes. No explicit No outcome or cancellation clause provided. This creates an unresolvable binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.