TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins (W)
Volume:
$19,199
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mercer Bears and Furman Paladins scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Mercer win and Furman win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's version entirely until corrected. Trade only Polymarket's binary structure. The Kalshi rule as written cannot determine a winner because both outcomes resolve identically.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome resolution with clear winner determination. Mercer Bears win resolves to Mercer Bears, Furman Paladins win resolves to Furman Paladins. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. States both If Mercer wins then Yes AND If Furman wins then Yes, creating logical impossibility. No clear mechanism to distinguish winner or handle edge cases. Market cannot be resolved as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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