TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Volume:
$6,227,812
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey Semifinals matchup between Canada and Finland at the 2026 Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 10:40 AM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Canada wins and Finland wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses coherent categorical resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market due to the critical logical flaw. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable option. Verify with PredictionHero support whether Kalshi's description is a documentation error or a genuine market defect before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Canada victory and Finland victory stated to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Canada wins...resolves to Yes. If Finland wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Canada win resolves to 'Canada', Finland win resolves to 'Finland'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Canada win, the market will resolve to Canada. If Finland win, the market will resolve to Finland.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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