TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. France
Volume:
$489,649
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey Round of 16 match between Germany and France scheduled for February 17, 2026 at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (France wins or Germany wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket's market is logically coherent with clear resolution paths for all scenarios.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket. Kalshi's market structure is broken and creates unhedgeable risk. The Yes resolution on both outcomes means Kalshi's market will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual game result, making it unsuitable for prediction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with three clear resolution paths: Germany (if Germany wins), France (if France wins), or 50-50 split (if game canceled with no makeup). Includes overtime and shootout outcomes in final score determination.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory binary structure: both France winning and Germany winning resolve to Yes. No defined resolution path for No outcome. Creates an impossible market state where the contract always resolves Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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