TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany
kalshi
polymarket

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

Volume:
$1,583,406

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

 - Polymarket

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$807,486
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

United States

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$10,602
$507,709
0%
0%
$448,385
N/A
kalshi

Germany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,106
$268,211
0%
0%
$228,459
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between the USA and Germany scheduled for February 15, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution for either winner, while Polymarket uses team-name resolution. Polymarket explicitly defines postponement and cancellation rules; Kalshi does not.Hero tip: If you are trading on Kalshi, confirm with support how postponement and cancellation are handled, as the market rules do not specify. On Polymarket, you have explicit clarity: postponement keeps the market open, and cancellation resolves 50-50. Consider the additional certainty Polymarket offers for edge-case scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for either winner (Germany or USA). No explicit rules for postponement, cancellation, or shootout scoring methodology. Key Quote: If Germany wins the United States vs Germany Men's Olympic Ice Hockey game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If United States wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Team-name resolution (USA or Germany). Explicit rules: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50; shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.