TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany
Volume:
$1,583,406
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between the USA and Germany scheduled for February 15, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes resolution for either winner, while Polymarket uses team-name resolution. Polymarket explicitly defines postponement and cancellation rules; Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
If you are trading on Kalshi, confirm with support how postponement and cancellation are handled, as the market rules do not specify. On Polymarket, you have explicit clarity: postponement keeps the market open, and cancellation resolves 50-50. Consider the additional certainty Polymarket offers for edge-case scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution for either winner (Germany or USA). No explicit rules for postponement, cancellation, or shootout scoring methodology. Key Quote: If Germany wins the United States vs Germany Men's Olympic Ice Hockey game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If United States wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Team-name resolution (USA or Germany). Explicit rules: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50; shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.